Netbooks at $99 from AT&T

This piece of news is exciting enough to merit a blog post.

This year, at least one wireless phone company in the United States will probably offer netbooks free with paid data plans, copying similar programs in Japan, according to industry experts.

But this revolution is not just about falling prices. Personal computers — and the companies that make their crucial components — are about to go through their biggest upheaval since the rise of the laptop. By the end of the year, consumers are likely to see laptops the size of thin paperback books that can run all day on a single charge and are equipped with touch screens or slide-out keyboards.

How long before we have the intersection of 3G and Netbooks in India? I see this as a positive trend for Web services and the Internet economy.

Asia disconnected

The boxing day earthquake off the cost of Taiwan impacted India’s connectivity in a drastic way. Latencies to every major US web site nearly doubled and remained at ~800ms for every round-trip.

Business Week Asia is covering the impact of the quake on the India, Taiwan, China and other South East asian countries. The story also covers how telecom operators began to gear up to re-route traffic and what difficulties they face.

Traditionally, since hosting services and bandwidth are cheaper and more reliable in the US compared to the rest of the world – Indian businesses picked data centers in the US over India.

The lesson drawn from the aftermath of the earthquake is of course that the Internet is fragile. If your target market is here in India, you ought to think about locating your content near here, or at least introduce enough redundancy in your systems to prevent such a freak accident from disabling your online access points.

After the earthquake off Taiwan’s southern tip at 8.30 pm on Boxing Day, the shifting seabed began to stretch some of the dozens of cable segment that run through it.

By lunch the following day, eight international cables had been severed in 16 places. As every Asian Internet user now knows, the prime role of those cables was to connect across the Pacific to the US, the largest single source of Internet content.

The result was Asia’s biggest ever loss of Internet capacity. Users were unable to access major US sites such as Google, Yahoo, YouTube and CNN.

Echoing a universally-held view, VSNL vice president of global transmission services Byron Clutterbuck said it was fortunate that the event occurred in one of the quietest periods of the year.

The disruption was less drastic for Indian-based VSNL, one of the world’s biggest owners of subsea capacity, which opened up a “back-route” to the US via Europe.

“We are fortunate we own a lot of capacity on other systems. The cost side is more internal – the opportunity cost,” said Clutterbuck.

He also dispelled the idea that satellite was a potential source of diversity, noting the latency on a 60,000-kilometer roundtrip and the much higher costs of satellite bandwidth.

But he complained that some carriers were exploiting the situation “to make a quick dollar,” charging up to five times more than the regular prices for bandwidth.

Broken Connections in Asia” – Business Week Asia.

Business Week is also running another story profiling the Bandwidth consumption trends in India. Most of it appears to be international – driven by Indian businesses which sell their services to the rest of the world. It does not appear as if any reduction in the cost of bandwidth can be passed back to the end-consumers at home. Indians will continue to pay the some of the highest rates for internet bandwidth. The trans-atlantic and trans-pacific routes are already at a premium.

Since early 2006, the Telecom Regulatory Authority of India (TRAI) has been pushing for amendments to the international long distance licenses so that more operators could enter the market. In mid-December the Indian government accepted the recommendations for the re-sale of bandwidth, allowing other players to access the cable landing stations owned largely by VSNL/Tata as well as Bharti and Reliance, which have smaller operations.

“There will be a price reduction in the cost of bandwidth, which will not only help bandwidth-dependent companies like call centers, business process outsourcing [BPO] firms, telecom and media companies compete with the global majors, but also make India one of the most bandwidth-competitive countries in the world,” says Amitabh Singhal, CEO of Telxess Consulting Services, a telecom analyst firm based in New Delhi.

Current bandwidth prices are as much as five times higher than on some international routes, according to industry sources, who add that once the directive comes into force, bandwidth prices could drop by 20%-25%.

“This will enhance competition in international private leased circuits through the entry of resellers, who will be non-facility based operators,” TRAI chairman Nripendra Misra, said while lobbying the government for a more liberalized approach.

India’s coming Bandwidth Boom” – Business Week Asia.

I wonder if the TRAI will at some point enforce a difference in cost for domestic bandwidth consumption (of which we have plenty) and international bandwidth consumption (not for the end-consumer, but for businesses)? Although cumbersome, but not impossible to implement, the hope is that the cost benefit will pass on from the local web businesses to consumers who will grow to be a sizeable segment in the future.

In retrospect, this thought looks a lot like a step in the wrong direction. The Internet by its very nature is independent of the geography and we must keep it that way. The real sore point is the lack of infrastructure, maturity, and expertise in the domestic bandwidth and hosting business. The fact that Indian internet consumers pay more for bandwidth overall, since most of the content the country (businesses and end-consumers) consumes is in the USA – is only collateral. An international bandwidth consumption tax cannot help sort this area out.

Proto.in

Update: Here is a slideshow by Amit Ranjan covering all the companies present at Proto.in.

Day 1 – 20th Jan, 2007 – This was a day when a panel discussion took place between panelists like Mahesh Murthy of SeedFund, Ravi Narayan on Mentor Partners, Sulekha.com co-founder and CEO Satya Prabhakar and Atul Chitnis.
The panel dicussed many issues concerning entrepreneurs such as the lack of good ideas, lack of talent in India as well as the difficulty in recruiting employees for startups.

read more on WATBlog.

One blogger has deeper coverage of the event, replete with videos! Gokul Blog: Proto.in.

Who needs 3G? Lets just go Wifi!

Netgear SPH101I finally tried out a Skype-Wifi phone this weekend. The Netgear Skype Wifi phone SPH101 was on display at a local IT-exhibition here in Pune. The phone was already preconfigured to pick up on the Wifi network at the Netgear stall. I picked up the phone, signed into my skype account and made a local call. The call clarity and quality were average and I enjoyed the feel of the keys and the overall skype experience. The keys were configured similar to any other standard phone with 3 alphabets to a key. The phone retails for approximately Rs. 15,500.00 in India, not a small order by any measure.

The Wifi phone itself not really a revolutionary breakthrough. Skype has been bundled with other data-enabled phones in the past – specifically, Pocket PC and Windows mobile. Also, at that price-point, the Wifi phone does not exactly make sense as a replacement for a fixed line telephone. But what makes Skype exciting to me is the idea of a global identity. With Skype you no longer need to know my locally relevent contact number, area code and country code. I can also purchase local numbers in different countries using SkypeIn and have those identities map to my single Skype identity. The global traveler (ahem ;)) could stay connected wherever there is a civilized airport with Wifi.

As long as I am signed into Skype that is. Mobile data connectivity here in India is a story by itself. I am currently signed into GPRS with AirTel. Depending on the day, month, time, latitude, longitude, environment, and of course – depending on how the god of the air feels (Vayu), I could get average connectivity or no connectivity at all.

Could Skype on 3G change all that? Skype is still exploring VoIP on the Hutchison 3G networks in Europe starting way back in Febuary.

In an effort to scope user demand, 3 Sweden is offering a Skype bundle with a 3G flat-rate subscription and 3G data card. With a mobile flat-rate data plan from Hutchison 3, users can make unlimited Skype calls. Christian Salbaing, MD of Europe Telecommunications at Hutchison 3, downplayed concerns that Skype traffic would cannibalise voice revenues. He described it as an attractive value added service that would help tempt more customers onto its network.

The pleasures of flat-rate dialing were too tempting to resist. As I placed the SPH101 down and turned around to leave the Netgear stall – my thoughts were all about the current 3G bids taking place in India. Is there a solution on the cards?

Just then, my eyes landed on the stalls of a popular VoIP provider in India – Phonewala. Phonewala were offering Broadband+VoIP-enabled PCO’s (for those interested, PCO is short for Public Call Office). With a simple Linksys phone adapter (approximately Rs. 4200), Broadband connection (Rs. 900 p.m for 256kbps) and a handset – PCO’s could offer “dial the world at Rs. 2.99/-“. Great, the local tea-stall owner can now call his cousin in Atlanta at rock-bottom rates.

Brilliant! What if PCO’s began offering Wifi? The entire city of Pune would be connected within a few days. We could give some of the big wireless guys a run for their money. Of course, there remains the question of how would the poor PCO operator get paid? But then with our history of socialism – I am sure the city municipal can work something out 🙂 (for those not laughing yet, please don’t mind my rambling).

At the end of the day, the Indian private wireless providers just don’t want to have to do anything that might disturb their revenues. I wish they would stop haggling and seed a long-delayed wireless data revolution in India. Sure voice revenues would start to whittle down – try focusing on areas where there is real value.

Oh and just so that you should know, using Skype in India is not politically correct according to the Economic Times – “Illegal web calls by BPO face axe“.

Application Security: Instant messaging and Mobile computing

Business week published articles on adoption of two new models centered around application security. There appears to be tremendous potential for vendors in this space. What does not make sense is when Software applications and (web) services introduce new loopholes and these models thrive on closing those loopholes. I don’t appreciate the inter-dependency. Instead, I would like to see companies who build these applications and services to fix the loopholes and offer monitoring and prevention services. This would imply that the associated cost to the customer may rise, but I don’t see why companies cannot guarantee the integrity of their systems.

Do not misunderstand me – selling your knowledge of exploits and vulnerabilities is not what I argue against. Instead, I would like to see the responsibility of fixing and prevention lie with the maker. I also realize that “dumb” users are a hard problem and are the source of many issues. I am specificially aiming at exploits that target design weaknesses (for example, being able to ‘hijack’ the host machine threw a instant messaging application). Similarly, handset provider Nokia and Symantec sell anti-virus solutions to the end user, while I would think every PC or mobile platform should already ship with these services built into the the platform.

IM Security is one tough sell. The article discusses companies (startups) in the business of providing monitoring and prevention of attacks over IM networks.

Mobile viruses, if not now soon. The article discusses the threat of viruses infecting mobile information systems, handsets and the potential for disruption and spread.

Hack my PC

My Dell Windows XP PC had a sticker on it that say “Please hack me”.

Well, I didn’t see the sticker. Not for a while. I read a very basic article on hacking by Roger Grimes at Infoworld. He talked about passwords sniffed from wireless networks. Their encryption broken in a matter of seconds. I thought it was too easy, it couldn’t be. I had to try it myself. I hopped over to insecure.org downloaded Cain & Abel installed it and was ready to go. Cain is a sniffer + cracker. I had to see for myself.

It took me less than five minutes to sniff the traffic on my private network, send it to the cracker and launch a dictionary attack on the SMB traffic collected. I found two vulnerable accounts, “Administrator” and “Guest”. Both accounts had *no* passwords. The Administrator account was especially worrisome – it never showed up under the account list in my XP control-panel. I never even knew it existed. I had never logged into it (XP offers to create a user account with administrator privileges at install-time). The Administrator account is also my system ‘root’, pardon my reliance on Unix jargon.

Dissapointed in myself, I quickly peeled the sticker off by disabling the two accounts. Maybe I can fix the vulnerability comprehensively by eliminating my dependence on Windows entirely.